Humanitarian Impact Analyst

Follow the dead and you can map the information economy precisely. The Riyadh airport casualties are migrant workers, and their nationalities determine which press carries them. Saudi civil aviation announces one killed and eleven injured [TG-719737]; the dead man is Pakistani, which puts the story on *Dawn* [WEB-102197], *Geo News* [WEB-102224] and across Iranian state channels [TG-720001, TG-719983]. *Anadolu*, citing Saudi media, identifies a Bangladeshi Islamic scholar among the dead of the earlier strike [WEB-102265]. *Al Arabiya* reports a Syrian mother of four killed [TG-720314]. *Asia-Plus* reports two Uzbek citizens lightly injured [TG-720517]; *Times of Oman* reports three Indians in intensive care but stable [WEB-102230]. *Radio Farda* records the Saturday toll at at least 13 dead and more than 300 injured [TG-720229]. The people absorbing this are overwhelmingly the region's labour force, and the coverage intensity tracks their passports, not their proximity. The Yemeni toll travels through a far narrower pipe. *Almasirah* reports seven children injured by a landmine planted inside a civilian's home in Jabal Habashi, Taiz, after the district was cleared and residents had returned [TG-720077]. *Al Mayadeen*, citing Yemen's health ministry spokesman, reports one killed and five injured by shelling of Hamdan district northwest of Sanaa [TG-719835], and strikes on a residential neighbourhood on Airport Road in Al-Thawra [TG-719746]. *Almasirah* reports multiple strikes on the government complex and a civilian home in Khub wa al-Sha'af, Al-Jawf, with civilian casualties reported [TG-720790, TG-720791], and claims Saudi escalation against Sanaa airport now exceeds 2,000 raids [TG-720110]. These items carry single-digit and low-hundreds view counts. The structural figures arrive almost incidentally: *Al Jazeera*, citing the World Food Programme, reports hunger worsening with more than 200,000 newly displaced and 74 percent of Yemeni households unable to meet basic food needs [TG-720896, TG-720944]. Two framing observations. *Almasirah* publishes a rights-group condemnation that pairs a struck home in Sanaa with a struck school in Taiz [TG-720301] — the precise register Iranian media built around Minab, pointed in the opposite direction, and it is not picked up by the outlets that amplified Minab. And a Yemeni cartoonist, carried by *Press TV*, makes the asymmetry itself his subject: the world's double standard on attacks against airport facilities in Yemen versus Saudi Arabia [TG-719947]. That is a belligerent-aligned outlet publishing a critique of selective attention, which is both self-serving and correct. One more, from Lebanon, where the slow casualties of a nominal truce go almost unrecorded: *L'Orient Today* reports a man killed by a landmine explosion in Ain Ibl [WEB-102291], and *Anadolu* reports an Israeli artillery strike killing a retired Lebanese soldier [WEB-102259], as authorities warn about cluster munitions and mines [WEB-102313]. No ecosystem has an interest in that number. It stays small.

Compare how two ecosystems counted the same casualties today. *Al Arabiya* told the story of an Egyptian flight attendant who said "I'll resign, this is my last flight" before dying at King Khalid airport [TG-718148], and of a 25-year-old Moroccan woman killed before her journey home in the Abha attack [TG-718535]. *Anadolu* raised the toll to 13 when an Indian national died of his injuries [WEB-102072]; *Al Jazeera Arabic* carried Shehbaz Sharif's grief over six wounded Pakistanis [WEB-102053]; *AbuAliExpress*, watching Al Arabiya's CCTV, observed that most of the visible victims appeared by their dress to be Muslim pilgrims [TG-719563]. Named, nationalized, individuated — 12 dead and 309 injured per *Naharnet* [WEB-101948]. The resistance ecosystem counted operations. *Farsna*: "four successful Yemeni operations in the four corners of Saudi Arabia" [TG-718972]. Saree: three phases against Riyadh, Aramco's Shaqdam station, King Fahd [TG-718930][TG-718933][TG-718935]. Sanaa's foreign ministry counted twelve years of ignored demands to lift the blockade and hundreds of raids on its own airport [TG-718053][TG-718054]. Two incommensurable units of account: persons versus years. Yemeni civilian harm appears in this corpus almost only through *Almayadeen* and Saba — a child killed and six wounded, including a woman and a child, by shelling at Bab Shuub in central Sanaa [TG-718503]; a residential building struck in Turbah [TG-719653]; three wounded including a woman east of Taiz [TG-719202]. The structural figure came from the *IOM* via *Al Jazeera Arabic*: 197,755 people displaced from about ten Yemeni governorates since the start of September [TG-718327]. It was carried as a one-line flash. The siege of Taiz, meanwhile, exists in two versions — rights organizations via *Al Arabiya* say a Houthi siege is strangling 2.5 million people [TG-718713], while Sanaa's spokesman insists all main roads to and from Taiz are open and secured from their side [TG-719294]. On Iran, the Minab material has moved from grief to documentation: 168 children named as the ground of a legal and mnemonic campaign [TG-718517], a mother describing finding her daughter's body at five in the afternoon [TG-718110], cases being prepared for foreign courts [WEB-101958]. Alongside it a quieter reconstruction ledger — 102,000 damaged housing units to be repaired by late autumn [TG-718143], Hormozgan's schools reopening after two weeks [TG-718040] — which sits uncannily beside *IRNA* reporting that Riyadh's schools have gone remote for a week after the airport strike [TG-718132]. School-closure logistics as war reportage, in both capitals. And the smallest death of the day, which only the Lebanese and Palestinian channels carried: Hussein Ramadan, farmer and engineer, killed by Israeli war remnants while harvesting olives in Froun [TG-718128]. *Al Arabiya* logged two killed during the harvest, one by Israeli fire [TG-718857]. *qudsnen* then noted the Israeli army announcing it had "completed preparations" for the olive harvest [TG-719231]. Three sentences, three worlds.

I want to put two posts from the same village, published within an hour of each other, side by side. *Quds News Network*: Israeli forces fire teargas at Palestinian farmers and international solidarity supporters near Deir Abu Mesh'al to stop the olive harvest [TG-714714]; journalist Issam al-Rimawi shot in the thigh with rubber-coated bullets while covering it [TG-714654], with footage [TG-714955]. *Al Jazeera*'s correspondent via *ajanews* confirms the journalist's wounding [TG-714634]. The Palestinian Red Crescent count rises in public, in real time: four injured [TG-714921], then eight [TG-714949], with the wall-and-settlement commission reporting twelve settler attacks across the West Bank since morning [TG-714950]. *Anadolu* reports Israeli fire wounding its own photojournalist [WEB-101621], as does *Daily Sabah* [WEB-101624]. Now *AbuAliExpress*, in Hebrew, same village: a Jewish youth wounded in the head by stone-throwing near Deir Abu Mash'al, with "hundreds of Arabs, foreign and Israeli pro-Palestinian left activists, some masked" arriving "as part of 'olive harvest' activities," IDF forces on scene [TG-714847]. Note the scare quotes around the harvest. One ecosystem describes agricultural labor under armed interference; the other describes a staged provocation with a casualty of its own. Both describe injured people. Neither mentions the other's casualty. This is not a dispute about facts so much as about which bodies count as evidence. The same asymmetry governs a child's age. *Quds News Network* reported Shahd Abdul Razzaq Al-Najjar as a six-year-old who succumbed to wounds after Israeli fire toward displacement tents west of Gaza City [TG-714548, TG-714824] — and, in a post an hour later, as an eight-year-old killed by quadcopter fire [TG-714715]. *Almasirah* carried her only as "a girl" [TG-714631]; *ajanews* only as "a child" [TG-714810]. The drift from six to eight within one channel is not deception; it is what casualty reporting looks like when there is no functioning registry. But it is precisely the kind of inconsistency the opposing ecosystem harvests to discredit the whole count. On Yemen, the figures being published are not reconcilable. The Saudi-led coalition announces 136 military targets destroyed, carried near-verbatim by *ajanews* [TG-713979], *Al Arabiya* [TG-713995], *Al Hadath* [TG-713994], *BBC Persian* [TG-714070] and *Malay Mail* [WEB-101549]. Houthi-aligned *Almasirah* reports a human rights commission alleging "unprecedented Saudi escalation, 1,857 airstrikes in one day" [TG-714600], internationally prohibited cluster bombs over villages in Abs [TG-714499], three civilians injured in six raids there [TG-714477] — *Al Manar* confirms the Saba figure [WEB-101592] — a Yemeni oil company station in Bajil struck [TG-714476], and the wife of a judge's son killed in Taiz [TG-714474]. One side counts targets; the other counts raids and bodies. *Al Jazeera Arabic* notes a UN warning about deteriorating humanitarian conditions [WEB-101525] — the only item in the window that tries to hold both. Finally, two Iranian items that belong in this ledger. *IRNA* reports the crisis management chief saying war-damaged firefighting aircraft and helicopters are being rebuilt and that more than twenty relief workers died on duty this year [TG-714827], and that half the attendees of the first emergency meeting of the twelve-day war were killed [TG-714729]. And *Mehr* reports a Turkish friendship caravan traveling from Diyarbakır to Minab carrying 3,500 letters and 2,000 children's drawings [TG-714563, TG-714567] — the only transnational civilian solidarity gesture in this window, and only Iranian state media covered it.

Three people died at Saudi airports in this window and the information environment handled them in a way worth documenting. Saudi Arabia's General Authority of Civil Aviation, carried by *Al Jazeera* [TG-707403, TG-707404], announced two female residents killed and 28 wounded at Abha, and one resident killed with eight wounded — five of them citizens — at King Khalid in Riyadh. *Al Arabiya* [TG-707440] then specified the dead: a Sudanese man, a Moroccan woman, an Algerian woman. Not one name. The official ledger distinguishes *muqim* from *muwatin* — resident from citizen — and the distinction survives into every onward retelling, including *AbuAliExpress* [TG-707499] in Hebrew, which reproduces the three-dead, 36-injured arithmetic exactly. So the facts travel intact across hostile ecosystems while the identities do not. The migrant workers who service Gulf aviation die as nationalities and categories. Second, the displacement figure. *Al Hadath* and *Al Arabiya* [TG-706352, TG-706354], *BBC Persian* [TG-706829] and *Jerusalem Post* [WEB-100680] all carry IOM reporting over 200,000 newly displaced in Yemen since fighting resumed in September. This is the largest single human-cost number in the window and it generated no follow-up anywhere in our corpus. Meanwhile Houthi military spokesman Saree's tallies of Saudi strikes — 156 in 24 hours, 1,798 since escalation began, hitting civilian sites in six governorates [TG-707260, TG-707263, WEB-100758] — circulate only within *Al Manar* and *Al Mayadeen*, while the Saudi-led coalition's 82 destroyed targets and 'Fajr al-Yemen' totals of 2,100 targets and 1,800 fighters neutralized [TG-707882, TG-707949, WEB-100834] circulate only within Gulf media. Two mutually sealed ledgers, no shared denominator, no independent count of the dead in either. Third, medical infrastructure as rhetoric. The head of Iran's Basij, via *Mehr* [TG-706529], *IRNA* [TG-706691] and *Fars* [TG-706708], asks where in the world a fighter jet hunts a Red Crescent ambulance instead of a barracks, and says 56 Red Crescent centres were bombed. It is a potent line and it is entirely belligerent-sourced — no ICRC or IFRC corroboration appears anywhere in our corpus. The same applies to Iran's ambassador to the Netherlands claiming 111 damaged petrochemical and pharmaceutical facilities [WEB-100775]. And on the other side, *Xinhua* [WEB-100589] reports the Israeli military's own count of roughly 100,000 targets struck across the region since October 2023, *Naharnet* [WEB-100633] 28,000 in Lebanon and Syria. Three years in, belligerents are publishing their own strike arithmetic as achievement while the humanitarian arithmetic stays unaudited. That asymmetry — precise about munitions, vague about people — is itself the finding.

Three years in, the anniversary produced a flood of numbers. What interests me is which numbers get carried and by whom. Gaza's health ministry totals — 74,250 killed and 175,278 wounded, with 1,467 killed since the ceasefire — reach us this window almost entirely through *Al Masirah* [TG-705985][TG-705984] and Hamas statements relayed by *Al Jazeera* [TG-704498]. The Palestinian education ministry's figure of 20,748 students and 1,058 teachers killed appears via *Anadolu* [WEB-100568] and *teleSUR* [TG-705837]. By contrast, the most methodologically careful item in the corpus got almost no pickup: *Quds News* carried a Shireen Observatory analysis of Gaza's *official 2025 death registry* documenting 24,650 deaths in a single year, roughly four times the pre-war annual level [TG-705958]. Registry-based excess-mortality work is harder to dismiss than a running toll and harder to politicize — and precisely because it does not produce a dramatic daily increment, it does not travel. That is a structural bias in how civilian harm gets quantified in this information environment, not a quirk. The Ramin killing shows the framing problem at single-victim resolution. *Quds News* names Ali Hassan Bezzari, 44, shot dead by settler militias attacking farmers harvesting olives on their own land [TG-705787][TG-705748]. The *Palestinian Red Crescent* counts one killed and fourteen injured, including four of its own medics, and says its crews were detained and their equipment confiscated [TG-705757][TG-705627], and separately that ambulance teams were denied access to four wounded people [TG-705661]. *Al Mayadeen* identifies the dead man as an officer in the Palestinian security forces [TG-705924]. *AbuAliExpress* reports the same man as a 44-year-old PA National Security officer "killed by IDF and settler fire" in clashes [TG-705987]. One body, four descriptions: farmer, patient, security officer, combatant-adjacent. Note that the detail with the clearest humanitarian-law content — medics obstructed and detained — survives only in the Red Crescent's own feed. Access denial is the least-amplified category of harm because it has no photograph. The other death worth naming: Mohammed Tamous, a civil defense member killed while going to retrieve casualties from an earlier strike near Kamal Adwan hospital [TG-705599][WEB-100532], with *Anadolu* framing it as a ceasefire violation [WEB-100544] and Gaza's health ministry warning that Israeli claims about hospitals prefigure attacks on the remaining ones [TG-705070]. MSF's statement that Gaza is being "progressively asphyxiated" and that the space in which people can live is vanishing [TG-705630] is the kind of clinical framing that gets carried once and disappears. Two more ledgers. Yemen's health ministry, via *teleSUR* in Spanish, reports 959 killed and 4,207 wounded across ten governorates from Saudi bombardment to 2 October [TG-705838] — a figure essentially absent from Arabic and English coverage of the same campaign. And Iran is building a harm ledger in treaty language: its OPCW envoy told The Hague that US strikes damaged 111 facilities including 60 petrochemical and 44 pharmaceutical plants, affecting supply chains and convention implementation [TG-704798][TG-704593], with Tehran noting its concerns went unanswered [TG-705728]. Pharmaceutical-plant damage is a civilian-health claim dressed as a compliance complaint — which is how it gets into a forum that would otherwise not hear it. The one place American casualties appear in this corpus is *Press TV* reporting US soldiers wounded in Kuwait saying the military medical system failed them [TG-704758]: an Iranian state outlet as the venue for American veterans' grievance.

Two casualty events in this window, reported with radically different precision, by ecosystems with opposite interests. The asymmetry is the data. From Harad district in Hajjah, *Almasirah*'s correspondent reports six members of one family killed in a strike on Umm al-Dahi village — father, mother and four of their children — with a six-year-old girl wounded, and specifies the children's ages as between three and eight [TG-701928, TG-701929, TG-701930]. *Al Mayadeen* puts the wider toll from border-area strikes in Saada and Hajjah at seven killed and six wounded [TG-702634]. *Al Jazeera Arabic* carries the Saada bombardment with one killed and one wounded [WEB-100139], and the Yemeni security media centre reports missile strikes on farms and homes in Sahar and Saqin [TG-702485]. *Almasirah* also reports three civilians including a child injured in Sala district, Taiz [TG-702525]. From Saudi Arabia, the General Authority of Civil Aviation confirms two airports attacked and three people injured [WEB-100207], a figure *Xinhua* describes as minor injuries [WEB-100228]. The GCC and Jordan condemn the strikes on civilian infrastructure [TG-702420, WEB-100223]; Guterres condemns the Houthi attacks and voices deep concern over the escalation [WEB-100093, WEB-100162]. Now compare the architecture of attention. Three injuries at airports generate multilateral condemnation and a UN statement within hours. Six members of one family killed in a border village generate a Yemeni foreign ministry statement condemning *international silence* [TG-702048, TG-702091] and a national women's committee statement on the targeting of women and students [TG-702755] — that is, the suffering is reported almost exclusively by the party that suffered it, and its principal framing is that nobody else is reporting it. *L'Orient Today* notes France pledging more aid to Yemen after the offensive [WEB-100211], the only non-aligned humanitarian response in the corpus. Two further items belong in any honest humanitarian ledger here. *Al Arabiya* reports Ansarallah trying eight aid-organization employees on charges carrying possible death sentences [TG-702668] — aid workers as hostages to the information war, which the same ecosystem that documents civilian harm so carefully does not discuss. And a rights group carried by *Almasirah* calls the killing and mutilation of Yemeni prisoners a war crime [TG-702046], an allegation no other source in this window tests. On Iran: the judiciary's press conference featured wounded Minab schoolchildren recounting their fear during the strike, as *Fars* and *Mehr* both covered [TG-702293, TG-702310], and a student festival is being organized around 168 student martyrs of Minab [TG-702693]. Former minister Bazrpash makes the comparison explicit — no one died on the Flydubai flight and the world hunts for a terrorist, while elsewhere human deaths are a daily statistic [TG-702318]. The environment minister says war damage to Iran's ecology will be documented for international legal action [TG-702659]. Grief is being converted into legal and rhetorical capital in every ecosystem that holds it. That conversion is efficient. It is also how the dead become arguments.

The humanitarian material in this window is almost entirely Yemeni, and the asymmetry in who carries it is the analytically useful finding. The damage claims are specific and come almost exclusively from one side. *Almasirah* reports Saudi airstrikes damaging Al-Sabeen hospital and Al-Shaab mosque in Sana'a [TG-696046]; *Press TV* elevates the same event with a legal frame — "crime against humanity" — specifying a maternity and child hospital with extensive damage to the health facility [WEB-99530]. *Almasirah* and the Sana'a health ministry report two killed and two injured in a drone strike at Al-Wazi'iyah in Taiz [TG-695616, TG-696231, TG-695574], a civilian killed in Taiz alongside 19 roads and crossings closed [TG-695517], a girl injured by missile strikes on border villages in Haydan [TG-696657], a civilian injured in Al-Hazm, Al-Jawf [TG-696659]. Then the access dimension, which is the part almost nobody carries: the health ministry warning that road closures in Taiz threaten patients [TG-696470], and Yemeni bodies condemning restrictions on civilian movement [TG-696298]. Movement restriction kills slowly and photographs badly, which is precisely why it travels least. Now the suppression side. *Al Arabiya* and *Al Hadath* in this window carry twenty airstrikes on Houthi positions in Al-Jawf and Marib [TG-696558, TG-696556], Yemeni army recapturing areas south of Taiz [TG-695568, TG-695567], and tribes in Al-Bayda calling for general mobilization against the Houthis [TG-696069, TG-696068] — the full operational register, with no civilian-harm line at all. Gulf media is not denying the hospital; it is declining to have the category. That is a cleaner form of information management than denial, and harder to rebut. On Gaza, the figures keep being published by the same single source and relayed intact: the Gaza health ministry, via *Almasirah* and *AJA*, reports 9 killed and 18 injured in 24 hours, a cumulative 74,237 killed and 175,206 injured, and 1,454 killed since the October 11 ceasefire [TG-696653, TG-696654, TG-696655, TG-696588]. Two individual deaths in this window did travel: Saqr al-Qaisi, director of the Turkish Deniz Feneri relief organization, killed in a strike on a vehicle in Deir al-Balah [TG-696321, TG-696286], and six-year-old Suha Mohammad Nasser, who died of wounds after being shot inside her family's displacement tent in Wadi al-Salqa [TG-696352, TG-696484]. A named aid worker and a named child in a tent are the two formats that reliably cross ecosystem boundaries; the aggregate does not. And one counter-current: *Israeli* media via *Al Mayadeen* and *Xinhua* publish the Israeli war ministry's own three-year toll of 1,318 security personnel killed [TG-696070, TG-696071, TG-696072, WEB-99529], while *WAM* reports five Emirati convoys carrying 617 tonnes entering Gaza [TG-696535]. Both are ecosystems choosing which casualties and which generosity to count.

I will begin where the numbers disagree, because that disagreement is itself the evidence. Sanaa. Yemen's health ministry in Sanaa reported Saudi strikes near the al-Sabeen maternity and children's hospital causing severe damage, injuries and panic among patients and visitors, and called the targeting of health facilities a flagrant violation of international humanitarian law [TG-694366] [TG-694368]. *Press TV* carried it [TG-695150]; *Al Mayadeen*'s Sanaa bureau chief added two notes that an advocacy outlet would have omitted — that the strikes were concentrating on telecommunications networks [TG-694328], and that hours in, the health ministry had reported no fatalities from the latest raids [TG-694330]. The second is a restraint worth recording. *Saba* later reported one civilian killed and women and children wounded by a strike on a house west of Taizz [TG-695094]. Spokesman Yahya Saree put the 24-hour figure at 60 strikes across five governorates [TG-694939]; *Saba*'s midday count was 26 [TG-694636]; *L'Orient Today* rendered the Houthi accusation as 56 [WEB-99379]. Three figures from one ecosystem in one day. When a belligerent cannot keep its own tally stable, treat the tally as mobilization and the hospital damage as the datum. Now the inversion. The Gulf ecosystem also covered Yemeni civilian harm in this window — with the agency reversed. *Al Arabiya* and *Al Hadath* reported roughly 200,000 people displaced during September 'as a result of Houthi escalation' [TG-694358] [TG-694353]. *Al Jazeera Arabic* reported schooling suspended in Taizz because of Houthi attacks [WEB-99398], and *Al Mayadeen* carried Taizz's acting governor condemning the closure of humanitarian corridors by 'mercenaries and the Saudi enemy behind them' [TG-694994]. Both ecosystems are describing corridor closure and displacement around the same city. Neither cites the other's figure. The displaced are fully present in both narratives and attributable in neither. Gaza produced the window's clearest instance of whose dead travel. An Israeli strike on the al-Asala building in western Gaza City killed five, including a Christian mother and daughter asleep in their apartment; the Greek Orthodox Church mourned Maisa Dawoud and her daughter Mary [TG-693921] [TG-693922]. That specific detail — Christian victims — carried further and faster than the aggregate: *Anadolu* led with it [WEB-99362], *TRT World* carried it [TG-694028], Hamas built a statement around it [TG-694252]. The *Israeli army radio*, meanwhile, framed the same strike as a probably-failed attempt on Hamas official Ali al-Amoudi [TG-694535], a framing *Xinhua* [WEB-99417] and *Al Jazeera Arabic* [WEB-99358] carried. One strike, two complete accounts, no overlap in what counts as the subject. Southern Lebanon barely registered anywhere. *L'Orient Today* reported the Israeli army demolishing the Jabal Amel School in Houla [WEB-99309]; *Quds News* reported displaced residents' homes set alight in the same town [TG-694132]. A school destroyed under a ceasefire, with one outlet reporting it. And inside Iran, the medical consequence of sanctions found its sharpest formulation from an official, not an advocate: *BBC Persian* carries the parliamentary health committee spokesman saying that in Iran 'the end of illness is not treatment; it is death' [TG-695091]. That sentence will be quoted as propaganda. It was spoken by a legislator of the state being sanctioned, to a domestic audience, about his own health system — which is precisely why it is analytically useful. Alongside it: a French analyst in *IRNA* calling pharmaceutical sanctions 'the beginning of a crime' [TG-693994], and a jurist arguing aviation sanctions belong to fundamental rights rather than politics [TG-693960]. The humanitarian argument is being built for export; the domestic admission leaked out underneath it.

Watch which civilians are permitted to travel between ecosystems, and which are not. One strike, two populations. *Quds News Network* documents the bombing of the ground floor of the Al-Asala building in Rimal, western Gaza City: five killed, four of them women, named — Maisa Dawoud and her daughter Mary, mourned by the Greek Orthodox Church of Gaza, killed asleep [TG-693488, TG-693746, TG-693921, TG-693922]; a Palestinian academic, Dr. Yasmin Khamis al-Bobo, also killed [TG-693664]; *Anadolu* files it as a truce violation killing five [WEB-99235]; *Al Manar* calls it a massacre [WEB-99238]. In the Israeli-facing stream the same event has no women in it at all: *AbuAliExpress* reports an assassination attempt on a senior figure, IDF jets, multiple bombs, ground floor [TG-693581]; the Israeli broadcaster, via *Al Jazeera*'s flash, names the target as Hamas commander Ali al-Amoudi [TG-693912]; *Al Arabiya* adopts the assassination-attempt framing wholesale [TG-693841]. The building is identical in both accounts. The dead appear in only one. Yemen shows the same asymmetry with sharper edges. A single injury inside Saudi Arabia — a resident hurt and a prayer hall damaged by interceptor debris in Asir — crosses every boundary within minutes: *Al Jazeera* breaking flash [TG-692828], *Al Arabiya* and *Al Hadath* [TG-692852, TG-692848], *Al Jazeera Arabic* [WEB-99167], *Xinhua* in English [WEB-99195]. The Yemeni civilian items do not cross. *Al Masirah* reports the Lahj governor condemning a Saudi airstrike on a community college in al-Qubaytah [TG-693322], artillery on populated villages in Razeh district [TG-693714], and *Al Mayadeen*, citing Saba, reports missile strikes on telecommunications networks in Saqayn and Haydan districts of Saada [TG-693880, TG-693916] — infrastructure and education targets that circulate only inside the resistance ecosystem and die there. *Anadolu* alone supplies the aggregate: the widest escalation in three weeks, displacement approaching 200,000 [WEB-99231]. That number appears in none of the belligerent claim traffic from either side, which is busy counting combatants — 1,540 Houthis neutralized per the Yemeni government [WEB-99200]; 94 Saudi sorties per the Houthi spokesman [TG-693027]. Two armies counting each other; one wire service counting the displaced. The novel humanitarian information behavior this window is Iranian, and it is retroactive. *IRNA* publishes the Bonyad-e Shahid representative putting roughly 6,000 dead across the twelve-day and Ramadan wars, with 3,703 in the latter and case files still being adjudicated [TG-693788]; *ISNA* carries the Tehran governor saying some 45 percent of strikes were directed at Tehran province [TG-693793]; *Mehr* runs the health minister saying hemorrhage was the leading cause of death among the wounded early on [TG-693402]; and *Xinhua* exports the civil-defense figure of more than 7,250 people pulled alive from rubble [WEB-99140]. Eight months on, Iran is assembling its casualty архив in public and routing the number through Chinese state media — while *IRNA* also notes the first legal filings in domestic courts and international forums [TG-693753]. Suffering is being converted into an evidentiary record. That is a different act from mourning, and it should be read as such.

Count who publishes what, and the asymmetry is stark. Both belligerents in Yemen issued adversary casualty figures within hours: Yemeni government forces claim 474 strikes and 1,540 Houthis killed or wounded in 24 hours [TG-692405, TG-692407, WEB-99120, WEB-99125]; Houthi spokesman Saree claims 94 Saudi air raids in the same period and 1,350 since the escalation began, targeting civilian objects in six governorates [TG-692282, TG-692283, TG-692285, WEB-99112]. Xinhua declined both and wrote 'over 70 killed... as rivals trade airstrike claims' [WEB-99149]. BBC Persian reported at least 80 dead [TG-692102]. Nobody's number reconciles with anybody's. The civilian ledger, by contrast, arrived slowly and almost entirely through non-belligerents. UNICEF, via Al Arabiya and Al Hadath: 79,000 children displaced by the escalation in western Yemen [TG-691668, TG-691667]. WFP: record hunger levels [TG-691491, TG-691489], with BBC Persian noting unprecedented numbers unable to meet food needs [TG-692037]. Anadolu reports the UN finding that women and girls are 53 percent of those pushed into additional food insecurity by the Middle East escalation [WEB-98982]. The Yemeni government warns of medical service collapse in Taiz [TG-692412, TG-692410]; Sanaa's human rights body alleges Saudi war crimes in Saada and calls it systematic policy rather than accident [TG-692798, TG-692799]. Almasirah reports a civilian wounded by Saudi artillery on Haydan's border areas [TG-692094]; Saudi Civil Defense reports a Houthi projectile hitting a school in Najran with material damage [TG-692494, WEB-99126]. Each side documents the other's harm meticulously and its own not at all. On Iran, the window's single largest humanitarian figure reached our corpus through Beijing, not Tehran: Xinhua reports more than 7,250 people pulled alive from rubble in Iran during the 40-day war, citing an Iranian official [WEB-99140]. That is a survival statistic, and its routing is revealing — Iranian outlets this window preferred sanctions-harm framings: AzerNews on international flights at Tehran airport down 42 percent [WEB-99032], PressTV on over 770 Iranian epidermolysis bullosa patients winning compensation in a suit against US sanctions [TG-692313]. Suffering is being selected for its argumentative yield. One item I would not want dropped. Quds News reports four lion cubs died at a zoo in Nuseirat camp as food, medicine and veterinary care ran out [TG-692731]; on the same day WHO reported no Gaza hospital operating at full capacity and an average 74-day wait for Israeli approval of medical supply trucks [WEB-98995, TG-691196, TG-691198]. The cubs will travel further than the hospitals. That is a fact about attention, not about animals.

What this window reveals is less about where civilians are being harmed than about which harms acquire a diplomatic chorus and which do not. The clearest asymmetry is Yemen. A drone attack on the Taybah electricity distribution station near Medina produced, within hours, condemnations from the Saudi-led coalition [TG-689367], Qatar's foreign ministry [TG-690163], Turkey's foreign ministry [TG-690137], Egypt [TG-690124], and the OIC and Arab League [WEB-98843], with the coalition framing it as an attack on infrastructure serving the Prophet's Mosque [TG-689422] and the imam of the Medina mosque telling *Al Arabiya* it constitutes "corruption on earth" [TG-690193]. Ansarallah denied it through *Sabaa*, calling it a fabrication to cover a failed earlier Mecca claim [TG-689566] [TG-689567] [TG-689760], and *Fars* noted the targeted station lies roughly 100 kilometres from Medina [TG-690235]. In the same 24 hours, Yemen's armed forces spokesman reported 47 Saudi air and missile strikes across Taizz, Saada and Al-Jawf against civilian areas, communications networks and schools [TG-689933] [TG-689696]; *Al Mayadeen* reported two civilians wounded by a Saudi drone munition in Marran [TG-688815]; and *Xinhua* reported strikes on Sanaa late Thursday [WEB-98834]. The UN envoy's statement, as carried by *Al Jazeera*, expresses concern about civilian risk from Ansarallah's offensive and calls on Ansarallah to halt [TG-689887] [TG-689888] [WEB-98813] — no comparable address to the air campaign. An electricity substation near a holy site generates five foreign ministries; 47 strikes generate one belligerent's press release. The framing of disease is sharper still. *Al Arabiya* and *Al Hadath* ran 17,000 cholera and dengue cases under the headline "Houthi escalation worsens health collapse" [TG-690105] [TG-690096]. Epidemiological catastrophe is real; its attribution to one party alone, in an outlet aligned with the other, is an information choice. On Lebanon, UNICEF's warning of a generational crisis — reported by *Press TV* [TG-688427] and, with the figure of 261 children killed since March, by *teleSUR* [TG-689727] — travelled almost exclusively through resistance-aligned and Latin American channels. It does not appear in the Gulf or Israeli material in this window at all, even as *Al Manar* and *Al Jazeera* document continuing demolitions and strikes in Mais al-Jabal, Mansouri, Houla and Hadatha [WEB-98629] [WEB-98725] [TG-689701]. Gaza's journalist toll reached 263 by the Gaza government media office's count after the killing of Mohammed Abdulaziz al-Najjar, carried by *Al Jazeera* [TG-688137] and *Mehr* [TG-688169] and reported by *Anadolu* [WEB-98718]. Within the same window, *abualiexpress* reports the IDF launching a website to expose Gazan "journalists" as militants, explicitly to counter claims Israel murders journalists [TG-688249] [TG-689453]. Two information systems are now contesting the category of "civilian" itself. Two smaller items deserve rescue from obscurity. The injured Flydubai captain is an Indian national, Smith Macchhar — foregrounded by *Hindustan Times* via *TASS* [TG-688557] and *Malay Mail*, which called him a hero [WEB-98637], and by *ANI* reporting his medical transport to Abu Dhabi [TG-688597]; he is largely absent from the Israeli valorisation frame, where *BBC Persian* reports Herzog awarding bravery medals to four Israeli passengers [TG-688083]. And in Iran, *Mehr* alone reported the neonatal intensive care unit at a Meybod hospital temporarily closed after four infant deaths in two months [TG-688878], while Iran's food and drug organisation said essential medicine shortages have fallen from 64 items to about 32 compared with before "recent conditions" [TG-688243]. Those two items together — a closed NICU and a halved shortage list — are the only quantified health-system data in a corpus of 1,500 messages. The scarcity is the finding.

What today's data shows me is a widening gap between which harms get counted and which get framed. Counted, in detail, inside one ecosystem only: Gaza's government media office raised the toll of journalists killed to 263 after Mohammed Abdel Aziz al-Najjar was killed in a drone strike in al-Mawasi, Khan Younis [TG-685890, TG-685891, TG-685611]; *Press TV* put the figure at 145 by a different count [TG-685675], which tells you the counting itself is contested. Hospital sources report eight killed and more than fifteen injured across Gaza City and Khan Younis since dawn [TG-686243], including five in a strike on a public minibus in Tal al-Hawa reported by *Al Mayadeen*, *Al Jazeera* and *Naharnet* [TG-685005, WEB-98298]. A mass funeral was held for 105 bodies recovered from the rubble of the al-Taj building [TG-686559]. *Qudsnen* reports Gaza doctors rationing CT scans and laboratory supplies, deciding who is tested first [TG-686865]. Framed but not counted: the UN's finding that Israeli restrictions on 65 percent of Gaza's land are the main obstacle to aid and flood preparation appears in *Anadolu* [WEB-98434] and *TRT World* [WEB-98446] and essentially nowhere else in our corpus. Yemen is worse. *Al Mayadeen*, citing SABA, logs eight Saudi raids on Amran districts [TG-685423], four strikes on civilian telecommunications on Jabal Dhayn [TG-685424], and the Yemeni spokesman's count of 51 raids in twenty-four hours and 1,209 since escalation began [TG-686247, TG-686249]. *Anadolu* carries the mirror item — five killed including a child in Houthi shelling in Taiz [WEB-98399]. Both are real; neither ecosystem carries both. And one correction worth honouring. *TRT World* [WEB-98246] and *Al Manar* [WEB-98260] reported an Israeli strike wounding a Lebanese soldier and three civilians; *Naharnet* then published the Lebanese army saying the four were wounded by an explosion, not an Israeli strike [WEB-98311]. That is what unwinding an attribution looks like, and it happened once today. The Minab mother, still searching for her child, speaking at the nightly Tehran rally filmed by *Mehr* [TG-686580], is being used. She is also telling the truth.

The humanitarian ledger of this window is dominated not by Iran but by Yemen, and the asymmetries in how it travels are the analytically useful part. The World Health Organization, carried by *AJA News* and *IRNA*, puts casualties in Yemen since 6 August at 4,481, including 838 killed [TG-678852, TG-679210]. The International Organization for Migration reports more than 145,000 displaced, with insecurity still driving families from their homes [TG-678754, TG-678755]. These are the only figures in this window from a body with no side. Notice their distribution: they travel through Al Jazeera and Iranian state media. In our Gulf-media sample, what travels instead is the Yemeni government's own tally — 356 operations, 476 Houthis killed or wounded in 24 hours [WEB-97704, TG-679814]. Belligerent arithmetic crowds out neutral arithmetic, in both directions. On the other side of the same ledger, the Ansarallah spokesman claims 38 Saudi air and missile strikes in 24 hours across Taiz, Saada and Hajjah, 1,123 since escalation began, with women and children among the dead [TG-679652, TG-679654, TG-679655]; *Press TV* reports strikes on a school and residential villages [WEB-97627]; *IRNA* reports three women and an elderly man killed in a Taiz house [TG-679549], which *Xinhua* independently carries as four killed [WEB-97600]. *Al Mayadeen*'s correspondent reports Saudi artillery on populated villages in Razih [TG-678820]. The Saudi-aligned PLC's declaration of general mobilization [TG-679364] arrives with no assessment anywhere in our corpus of what mobilization does to a displaced population of 145,000. Inside Iran, civilian harm is documented almost exclusively by the state that suffered it, which makes it simultaneously real and unverifiable. Pakdasht announces a controlled demolition of unexploded ordnance left by the "American–Zionist aggression" and asks residents not to worry about the noise [TG-678331] — a small item that tells you munitions remain in inhabited districts of Tehran province seven months on. The roads minister says more than 27 airports were struck [TG-678403, TG-679801]; the housing foundation in West Azerbaijan reports 130 billion toman in grants to war-damaged homeowners in Urmia [TG-678457]. In Yazd, a fighter wounded in the head by shrapnel in spring was buried today after months in a coma [TG-679656, TG-679627]. And the Minab school families travelled to Rasht to speak in classrooms at the start of the school year [TG-679432], with a martyred girl's mother telling *IRNA* that this Mehr "has a different colour for us" [TG-678284]. The school massacre has become a portable commemorative form. That is what happens to civilian harm when it cannot be independently verified: it becomes liturgy, and liturgy is harder to argue with than evidence — and harder to count.

Three civilian-harm stories this window, and the distribution of who carries them is the finding. First: Yemen. *Saba*, via *Al Mayadeen*, reports Saudi aircraft striking Al-Rawd school in Al-Ta'iziyah for the third time, destroying what remained of it [TG-677865]. *Almasirah* reports its national human rights body condemning the strike and stating that 2,775 educational facilities have been targeted over twelve years, with attacks on schools and telecom towers intensifying since 3 September [TG-678205, TG-678209]. *Al Jazeera English* covers a deadly strike on a Taiz market [WEB-97390]; *Malay Mail* carries the casualty count [WEB-97377]. Iran's foreign ministry condemns the attacks, carried by *IRNA* [TG-677190] and *Press TV* [TG-677492]. Now note who is silent: *Al Arabiya* and *Al Hadath* this window carry Yemeni government forces bombing Houthi positions in Taiz [TG-678123] and nothing on the school. The same district, the same day, two entirely disjoint casualty universes. Striking an already-destroyed school a third time is either exceptionally poor targeting or deliberate — and the ecosystems that would ask that question are the ones with no reach into Gulf audiences. Second: Minab, on the anniversary of the school strike. *IRNA* runs the mother of a killed schoolgirl saying this September feels different [TG-678284], and an essay pairing Minab with Marbareh as 'two wounds on Iran's memory' [TG-678085]. More analytically interesting, *IRNA* relays the American outlet *Responsible Statecraft* arguing that 'precision strikes' is a falsehood and that Minab was not a targeting error [TG-677808]. That is Iranian state media importing Western dissent to validate a domestic grievance — the highest-value form of citation, because it is not their own. Third: Gaza. *QNN* [TG-677972], *Al Manar* [WEB-97454] and the Israeli aggregator *AbuAliExpress* [TG-678068] all report the same event — medical staff withdrawing from Kamal Adwan Hospital in northern Gaza as Israeli armour advanced. Three ecosystems, one fact, no dispute about it. Yet it generated a fraction of the volume of the settler-vehicle arsons or the Ben-Gvir prison video [TG-678080], which produced statements from Hamas, the prisoners' media office, *IRNA* and *Press TV* within hours. A hospital emptying is harder to make into a frame than a minister on video saying 'I want to kill you.' The information environment rewards the second and quietly loses the first. One domestic footnote, easy to miss: controlled demolitions of unexploded ordnance in Dezful [TG-677720] and Pakdasht [TG-678331], announced so residents do not panic at the sound. Months after the strikes, the war is still being physically removed from populated districts, one scheduled detonation at a time.

The clearest humanitarian signal in this window is an absence. Riyadh's schools moved to a week of remote learning with no reason given — reported by *AFP* via *Al Mayadeen* [TG-675426], by *Malay Mail* [WEB-97115], by *Jerusalem Post* [WEB-97144] and *Radio Farda* [TG-675221], all of which supply the missing reason themselves: Houthi attacks. Saudi and Qatari official channels in our corpus said nothing; *QNA* published prayer times, weather and metals prices [TG-674962] [TG-675099]. When a capital quietly withdraws children from classrooms and the state media carries currency tables, the silence is the disclosure. In Yemen the asymmetry runs the other way. *Almasirah* published a near-minute-by-minute strike ledger — Maran, Saqin, Baqim, Al-Taiziyah [TG-675541] [TG-675566] [TG-675569] — and the Ibb governor framed the Al-Dalil bridge strike as a war crime, explicitly invoking the 2015 attack on the same bridge that he says killed 53 civilians [TG-674586] [TG-674588]. Al Mayadeen carried a health ministry spokesman's non-final count of 7 killed and over 40 wounded after Saudi strikes on shops in a Taiz market [TG-675594] [TG-675595]. The same hours in Gulf outlets carried the Yemeni government's air force striking Houthi camps [TG-675201] [TG-675564] and a photo-feature on its drone capabilities [TG-674992]; Morocco's king condemned Houthi attacks on Saudi Arabia [WEB-97152]. Two ecosystems, two victim sets, almost no overlap. Only *Al Arabiya* noted the consequence both sides share: Djibouti saying arrivals from Yemen exceed its capacity to meet their needs [TG-674947]. Inside Iran, war damage is being narrated through reconstruction rather than casualties. *ISNA* reports solar panels planned for 1,288 war-damaged schools [TG-675017]; *IRNA* reports UNESCO's Iran commission documenting several thousand pages of heritage damage against a €2.5 million reconstruction pledge [TG-675027]. And the most affecting item in the corpus: *Mehr* reports that after the Minab school recovery team found a glue stick bearing Makan Nasiri's name sticker, the Razi company printed his name on its new packaging [TG-675290]. Commercial branding as memorial. Meanwhile Bandar Anzali held its 210th consecutive night of gathering, hosting about twenty Minab families [TG-674900] — grief that has become infrastructure.

What this window is doing to people is mostly visible in what is not being carried. The United Nations warned that disruption of Hormuz threatens at least 45 million people with food shortages. In a corpus of 1,158 Telegram messages and 155 web articles, I find it twice: Press TV [TG-672870] and AzerNews [WEB-96829]. Bahrain's foreign minister made the adjacent point at the General Assembly — that the consequences reach energy, food and supply chains beyond the region [TG-671821] — and Fars carried that [TG-671848], because a Gulf state validating the cost of the blockade serves Tehran's argument. The 45 million did not serve anyone's argument, so they did not travel. Lebanon. Lebanese media report Israeli forces used phosphorus munitions while shelling towns in the south; the claim is carried by Anadolu [WEB-96801], TRT World [WEB-96819] and Al Manar [WEB-96846], and is absent from the Gulf, Chinese and Russian feeds entirely. Al Manar reports Israeli forces advancing toward the outskirts of Deir Mimas and preventing farmers from reaching their olive groves [WEB-96856] — at the start of the harvest. Qudsn and Press TV report the detonation of displaced Lebanese homes at Baraachit [TG-671772, TG-671808]. The cumulative death toll since the escalation began, 4,386 per the Lebanese health ministry, appears in our corpus once, via TASS [TG-671793]. A Russian state wire is the only channel here carrying the Lebanese ministry's own number. Yemen, in both directions. Al Masirah reports Saudi aircraft striking the Al-Dalil bridge in Ibb, a heavy-transport route [TG-672280, WEB-96559 — see TG-672559], three raids on Qatabir district in Saada [TG-672645], and four on the Mawiyah junction in Taiz [TG-672787]. Press TV separately reports UNICEF figures: 71,000 children among some 130,000 people displaced across Yemen in three weeks [TG-672016]. The Gulf feeds, which covered the Houthi launches on Riyadh in granular detail, did not carry the displacement figure. And Minab. There is no new event at Minab in this window. There is a song — ISNA reports the composer Bijan Mortazavi has released a piece for the children killed at the Shajareh Tayyebeh school [TG-672184]. And there is Fotros circulating footage of the CENTCOM commander declining to answer a journalist's question about the strike [TG-672680]. A massacre that has left the news cycle is now sustained in the Iranian ecosystem by culture and by the documented refusal of an adversary to speak about it. That is how a civilian-harm claim is kept alive when the reporting stops.

Civilian harm entered this window mostly as accounting, and the accounting is where the asymmetries show. Lebanon's Health Ministry published a cumulative figure — 8,953 killed and 30,649 injured since October 8, 2023 — carried by *Quds News* [TG-670903]. In our corpus it appeared there and essentially nowhere else. On the same day, Lebanon's prime minister told the UNGA, per *Al Mayadeen*, that the war left a humanitarian crisis, mass destruction, and people deprived of their homes and livelihoods, and that reconstruction of the south "is not rebuilding stone but restoring people's lives" [TG-670767, TG-670754]. *L'Orient Today* ran the version that will stay with me: children in Burj Qalaway returning to a windowless school, in prefabricated classrooms, because Israeli airstrikes destroyed the building in May [WEB-96669], and *Naharnet* the parallel story of South Lebanon children returning to a school destroyed by strike [WEB-96607]. Those two are the only items in the window that treat civilian harm as ongoing lived condition rather than as a number in a dispute. Yemen produced the largest figures and the least attention. *Al Jazeera Arabic* ran UNICEF in rapid succession: roughly 130,000 displaced in three weeks including 71,000 children, mostly from Taiz; 15 children killed, 14 injured, 3 missing since September 3; schooling suspended in 243 schools affecting more than 137,000 students; more than 2.2 million children under five at risk of acute malnutrition [TG-670224, TG-670225, TG-670228, TG-670227]. *Al Arabiya* and *Al Hadath* also ran the malnutrition story [TG-670094, TG-670093]. But the Yemen coverage that dominated the window was territorial — mountain ranges seized, drones downed, mobilization calls [TG-670182, TG-671186]. The children are a bulletin; the ridgeline is a running story. Two items about counting deserve emphasis. *IRNA* reported that the Pentagon "quietly" added to its US wounded total during the week without explanation, bringing it to 861 [TG-671781, TG-671638]. The Iranian outlet's analytical point is not the number — it is the silence around the revision, and that is a legitimate observation about how a belligerent manages its own casualty ledger. And *BBC Persian* reported Iran's pharmacists association saying at least 50 critical medicines are short, with codeine raw material distributed "by dropper" [TG-670307, TG-670997]. Iranian state outlets in the window instead carried infrastructure recovery — eight repaired Hormozgan bridges reopened, the governor calling speed of repair "Iran's answer to the war on infrastructure" [TG-670130, TG-671168]. Bridges photograph well. Pharmacy shelves do not. One death, one line: *Middle East Spectator* alone reports the IRGC announcing the killing of General Hossein Zarifi at Saravan [TG-671352]. No corroboration in our corpus.

Three humanitarian datasets surfaced in this window, and the pattern of who carried them is the finding. First, Yemen. *Al Jazeera Arabic* carried UN figures: more than 134,000 people recently displaced, most from Taiz, because of renewed conflict [TG-669955]; more than 3,700 refugees having fled Yemen toward Djibouti [TG-669956]; and a UNHCR representative telling Al Jazeera that emergencies have been declared in the countries receiving Yemenis [TG-670036]. In a corpus of 1,317 Telegram messages and 158 web articles, I can find no second ecosystem carrying these numbers. Not the Russian feed, not the Iranian state feed, not the Gulf official feed, not the Israeli OSINT feed. The Houthi-adjacent and Iranian outlets in this window are covering Yemen as an offensive capability story — preemptive operations in Jizan [TG-669017], Ansar Allah asserting Bab al-Mandab as Yemeni sovereignty [TG-668827, TG-669725] — and Gulf media are covering it as aggression, with *Al Arabiya* reporting a Houthi shell killing a child and wounding five civilians in Taiz [TG-669188] and the Saudi mufti calling the Houthis 'a gang of evil' [TG-669158]. Both sides are using Yemeni civilians. Neither is counting them. Only the UN is counting, and only one outlet is carrying the count. Second, Minab. *Press TV* published a viewpoint piece on the first school bell after the US-Israeli strike, with 168 empty desks [TG-669344]. *Fars* reported an Iranian shooting referee appearing at the Nagoya Asian Games with the Iranian flag and 'the symbol of the children of Minab' [TG-669208]. This is the transition from casualty figure to national iconography — the number has stopped functioning as a number and started functioning as a sign. That is not a criticism; it is what happens to child casualties in every conflict I have worked in. But it means the figure is now unusable as evidence, because it has become a loyalty marker: *Middle East Spectator* explicitly used Minab and Lamerd as the reason to boycott Fox News [TG-668964]. Third, reconstruction as counter-narrative. Iran's roads minister says eight of eleven bridges and tunnels destroyed in the US attacks have been rebuilt [TG-669758, TG-669772]; *Mehr* reports war damage to gas infrastructure deepening the winter shortfall [TG-669573]; the Red Crescent president says there is no problem sourcing medicine [TG-669936]. Damage acknowledged, coping asserted. The medicine claim in particular is a sanctions-politics statement as much as a health statement. On the Israeli side, the two reservists killed in northern Gaza by an Israeli drone that crashed into their own tent were named individually by *AbuAliExpress* [TG-669527], described as 'friendly fire' by *Anadolu* [WEB-96518], and reported by *Al Mayadeen*, citing Israeli army radio, as prompting the chief of staff to halt all armed drone sorties on all fronts [TG-669603]. Two deaths, named, with an immediate doctrinal consequence. Compare 134,000 displaced Yemenis, unnamed, carried once. And in south Lebanon, *L'Orient Today* reports no Israeli airstrikes or demolitions overnight [WEB-96504] and carries Israeli army radio claiming a troop drawdown [WEB-96478], while *Anadolu* and *TRT World* report the army preparing a new phase [WEB-96519, WEB-96525] and *Al Manar* reports artillery on Kfar Shouba, Zibqine and Houla [WEB-96484, WEB-96491]. Civilians in those villages are reading all four.

Watch which civilian deaths travel and which do not. The Minab schoolchildren travel. As the Iranian school year opened, the foreign ministry spokesman marked it by cherishing 'the angelic faces' of the children killed at the Shajare Tayyebe school [TG-665648]; *Press TV* reported social media users keeping their stories alive and demanding accountability [TG-665826]; *IRNA* published a long piece built around a surviving pupil's father, on what it means when school becomes the place you fear [TG-666488]; the Asian Games delegation issued a statement dedicating its performance to 'the angels of Minab' [TG-666574], and a gold-medal rower said her medal was for the people of Iran, 'we always fight for the people of Iran' [TG-666158]. This is a well-run commemoration infrastructure. It is also, straightforwardly, a real atrocity being remembered by the society it happened to. Now the deaths that do not travel. *Al Mayadeen*, citing Saba [TG-665832], reports a woman killed and a girl wounded by a Saudi strike on a house in Jabal al-Izd, Razih district, Saada; *IRNA* carried it [TG-666307]; further strikes on Marran [TG-666570] and a cemetery in Hayfan [TG-665891]. I find no Gulf outlet in this corpus carrying any of them. The UN human rights commissioner's statement — shock at rising civilian casualties in Yemen, roughly 125 civilians killed or injured since the start of August, a call for unimpeded relief access — appears in *Al Jazeera*'s feed [TG-666907, TG-666908, TG-666944] and, as far as I can see, essentially nowhere else in our collection. The Pakistan–Afghanistan strikes give the pattern in miniature within one newsroom. *Xinhua* published 'Pakistan strikes Afghan drone sites, no casualties reported' [WEB-96088] and, hours later, 'Afghanistan says 4 people killed by Pakistani airstrikes' [WEB-96130] — two dispatches, no reconciliation. *Al Jazeera*'s Afghan government source says no drones were launched and the accusation is merely a pretext for bombing [TG-666189]. And the slowest number of all: Gaza's health ministry toll at 73,928 via *Anadolu* [WEB-96142], with three killed and eighteen injured in twenty-four hours per *Quds News* [TG-666855]. It now moves through our corpus as a running total rather than as news — which is its own kind of information behaviour.

I want to track where the human facts entered the record this window, because in every case they entered from the side with the least to gain. The ship struck in Hormuz: Iranian state outlets relayed UKMTO's "unknown projectile" and stopped [TG-663706, TG-663810]. It was Oman's maritime security centre that reported a fire in the engine room, one crew member dead, and the evacuation of the crew [TG-664707, TG-664708] — 27 people, per *Al Arabiya* [TG-664744] and *Xinhua* [WEB-95996]. It was India's embassy in Muscat that put a nationality on the dead man [WEB-95914, WEB-95918], and *BBC Persian* that carried it to Persian readers [TG-664973]. A Gulf rescue service and a labour-exporting state supplied the casualty; the ecosystems arguing over the strait supplied only geometry. Merchant seafarers from South Asia are the most exposed population in this campaign and the least represented in any belligerent's messaging. On Iran's side, the medical figures this window are notably specific and come from the health ministry rather than the military: Minister Zafarqandi told *IRNA* that 73 hospitals were destroyed in the recent attacks [TG-663312], and separately said shortages of essential medicines are now lower than before the war, with problems concentrated in pricing [TG-663448]; later, that essential-drug shortages fell from 64 items to 32 [TG-665309]. Hormozgan's governor, via *Radio Farda*, gave roughly 5,000 strikes on the province and 65,000 billion toman in damage [TG-663745]. These are falsifiable, unglamorous numbers — and the Iranian ecosystem carries them far more quietly than it carries the Minab photographs. Which brings me to the asymmetry that matters. *Mehr* published "the lasting memory of 168 empty desks" from the Minab school [TG-664699] on the same day the government spokeswoman told Senator Sanders that the school year began "mourning 120 students" [TG-663901, TG-663942]. Both figures circulate uncorrected within the same ecosystem. I do not read that as fabrication; I read it as a death toll that has passed into commemoration and stopped being audited. That is a normal thing for grief to do and a dangerous thing for a record to do. The counter-frame arrived from *Jerusalem Post*, which ran a piece attributing Iran's unfilled classrooms to poverty, child labour and child marriage, citing the deputy minister for primary education [WEB-95898] — published the same day 16 million students returned after months of war closure [TG-665296]. Empty desks as indictment of the attacker, empty desks as indictment of the regime: the same physical object, two incompatible causal stories, neither ecosystem acknowledging the other exists. And then Yemen, which almost nobody in this corpus is covering as a humanitarian file. Yemeni forces' spokesman Saree reported 52 Saudi air and missile strikes in 24 hours across Hodeidah, Taiz, Bayda, Marib and Saada, bringing the claimed total to 988, with women and children among the dead and communications networks, schools, bridges and roads hit [TG-664795, TG-664796, TG-664798, TG-664831]. Sanaa's national human rights body called the targeting of civilian objects war crimes under the Rome Statute and the Geneva Conventions [TG-664976, TG-664977]. *L'Orient Today*, citing Houthi media, gave 10 killed and 14 wounded [WEB-95869]. *Al Mayadeen* reported Saudi strikes on telecommunications towers in Hodeidah [TG-663255]. Notice: the legal framing is supplied by the party under attack, the casualty count by its own media, and the Gulf ecosystem covers the same front purely as battlefield gains around Taiz [TG-665632]. Nobody neutral is counting. One last item, on the other side of the ledger: *Fars*, citing CNN, reported eight suicide attempts aboard USS *Abraham Lincoln* during its deployment against Iran [TG-665659]. That figure originates in a letter from a US Navy official. It reached this corpus only because an Iranian outlet found it useful. The harm is real; the only channel carrying it has an interest in it. That is the condition of nearly every humanitarian fact in this war.

Follow which civilian harms travel across ecosystem boundaries and which stay inside one. The Minab school strike crossed. *ISNA* carried, citing *Bloomberg* and unnamed US officials, that CENTCOM changed its lethal targeting process and its use of artificial intelligence after the deadly strike on the school [TG-661730]. That is an Iranian state outlet amplifying a Western business-wire accountability story about an American institutional change — the most consequential migration in this window, because it converts an atrocity claim into a documented procedural admission sourced outside the aggrieved party. Note in passing that the Iranian figures do not reconcile: Velayati spoke of 120 empty chairs [TG-660573]; *Fars* and *IRNA* of 168 absent students [TG-660110, TG-661182]. The infrastructure toll is being built into a legal case rather than a humanitarian one. The energy minister told parliament the enemy struck more than 2,000 infrastructure points [TG-660210], that 4,200 megawatts left the grid [TG-661764], and that attacks on water and power industries constitute a war crime [TG-660126]. *IRNA* reported 68 damaged schools in Andimeshk repaired for the new year [TG-660016]. The presidency's legal deputy spoke of pursuing war-crime victims' rights in international forums [TG-659829]. Yemen is the asymmetry. *rybar_mena* reported Houthi sources saying Saudi aircraft struck a residential house in Mokha [TG-659699]; *Al Manar* put it at six killed including two children [WEB-95384]; *Xinhua* reported a Saudi strike killing nine detainees in a prison under Houthi control [WEB-95438] and, citing Houthi media, at least 17 killed in 19 strikes across three provinces [WEB-95639]. Every one of those figures reaches us through a belligerent or a belligerent-aligned outlet. On the other side, *AJA* reported the UN expecting Yemen's displaced to rise to 230,000 [TG-659912] and *Africanews* attributed 130,000 displacements to the Houthi advance itself, per IOM [WEB-95383], while *AJA* also noted the World Food Programme complaining of Houthi access restrictions [WEB-95401]. Neither side's suffering arrives unencumbered. The most revealing single item is *Jerusalem Post* on the UN inquiry [WEB-95452]: the panel found Iran committed crimes against humanity in its crackdown *and* cited US and Israeli strikes. The headline leads with the first finding and appends the second. Nothing was falsified; the ordering did all the work.

What gets counted, by whom, and how consistently — that is the humanitarian story in this window. Iran's ecosystem is running a saturation campaign on Minab. The judiciary spokesman rang a resistance bell at the Shajareh Tayyebeh school [TG-659358, TG-659418], displayed Tomahawk fragments at the students' burial site [TG-659231], showed missile remains from the Kuhestak wedding strike to cameras [TG-659519], and announced parallel criminal and civil dockets pursuing punishment and victim compensation [TG-659477, TG-659528]. *Farsna* ran a video of injured Minab students narrating their fear during the attack [TG-659633] and a segment titled for the 168 students whose places are empty [TG-660110]; IRNA localized the toll to a Yazd classroom [TG-661182]. Yet Velayati, the Leader's adviser, said 120 chairs will remain empty [TG-660573]. The ecosystem that owns this story has not stabilized its own number. That matters — inconsistent casualty figures are precisely what adversary fact-checkers harvest. Adjacent civilian-protection material is being reported without being framed as such. Hormozgan province denied reports its schools were going remote [TG-661093], then announced all grades virtual for two weeks, citing student health and educational quality [TG-661124, TG-661159] — no mention of the strike environment that presumably drives it. The energy minister told parliament the enemy struck more than 2,000 infrastructure points and called the attacks on water and power a war crime [TG-659321, TG-660126]; 68 damaged schools in Andimeshk have been repaired [TG-660016]; the food and drug organization reports raw-material transport costs up tenfold with domestic production running 24 hours [TG-659368]. These are civilian-infrastructure datapoints filed as economics. The asymmetry sharpens on Yemen. Houthi media via *Xinhua* report six killed in Saudi strikes on a residential house in Mocha, including two children [WEB-95300], echoed by *Al Manar* [WEB-95384] and *Rybar MENA* [TG-659699]; *Xinhua* separately carries a Houthi claim that nine detainees died in a strike on a prison [WEB-95438]. *Africanews*, citing IOM, reports 130,000 displaced by the Houthi advance [WEB-95383]. Gulf outlets in our corpus lead instead with the Saudi King condemning the attempted targeting of Mecca [TG-660345, WEB-95455] and a four-nation statement affirming Saudi sovereignty [TG-660889]. One exception is worth naming: *Al Arabiya* did carry the UN projection that Yemen's displaced will rise to 230,000 [TG-659912].

Four civilian-harm ledgers are running in parallel this window and almost no source keeps more than one. The Saudi ledger: the coalition spokesman reports thirteen civilians injured and seven homes damaged by ballistic missiles and drones [TG-636823], a figure carried by Anadolu [WEB-92960], TRT [WEB-92968], Kuwait Times [WEB-93011] and Xinhua [WEB-93018], and endorsed upward by the Saudi cabinet and the GCC secretary-general [TG-637830, TG-637522]. The Yemeni ledger: Saudi airstrikes on Dhubab and Maqbanah in Taiz killed three civilians, two of them children [TG-636833, TG-637391]; a school in Hayfan was struck [TG-638009]; OCHA reports 125,000 people displaced in Yemen since the start of this month alone [TG-637321], and UNICEF reports education disrupted for over 137,000 children [WEB-93020]. The Taiz deaths appear in Almasirah and Iranian state media; the OCHA displacement figure appears in a single Al Jazeera breaking line. Thirteen injuries travelled further than 125,000 displacements. The Iranian ledger is the most institutionally processed. A drone struck two fishing boats off Hormozgan and fishermen are missing [TG-636670, TG-636676]; BBC Persian reported search operations under way [TG-636870] and Xinhua carried it internationally [WEB-92942]. ISNA reports that a UN fact-finding committee found the United States responsible for the 1 September airstrike on the Kouhestak wedding [TG-637664] — a genuine accountability finding that, in our corpus, appears in Persian only. Meanwhile the government spokesperson puts war damage at 1,288 schools [TG-637659]; Minab children's drawings are exhibited at the UN in Geneva under the title «Children still draw the sun» [TG-637988]; and the «Minab bell» is being written into the fifth-grade textbook [TG-637732]. This is what it looks like when an ecosystem converts civilian harm into curriculum. It is also, precisely, why Minab is legible to the world and Taiz is not. The fourth ledger is Lebanon and Gaza, where Press TV reports thirteen killed including six children in south Lebanon [TG-636932], MSF reports an airstrike two metres from a bus carrying ten of its staff in Gaza City [TG-637001], and Gaza's health ministry records three killed and twenty-seven wounded in twenty-four hours [TG-637782]. One note on framing. Almasirah's English service published «Official: 72 Vessels Cross Bab al-Mandab in Two Days as Shipping Routes Remain Safe» [TG-637298] on the same morning the Security Council convened on Bab al-Mandab [WEB-93100]. Humanitarian reassurance and military pressure are being issued by the same desk, hours apart. That is not hypocrisy — it is a deliberate dual-track communications posture, and it should be read as one.

Three humanitarian facts entered this window. Watch how differently they travel. One: UNHCR reports roughly 80,000 people displaced in Yemen by fighting in recent days [TG-634744], and *TRT World* develops it into a piece on the western coast, air strikes and ground combat [WEB-92652]. In a corpus of 1,248 Telegram messages, this number appears essentially twice. The territorial claims about the same coastline — Kahbub, Hanish, Mocha — appear dozens of times. The displacement is the shadow of the advance, and it is carried by a fraction of the channels carrying the advance. Two: Djibouti's naval commander tells *Al Jazeera* both that there is no direct threat to international navigation and that dozens of small boats carrying Yemenis arrive daily [TG-634177, TG-634210]. One interview, two halves. Only the strategic half is picked up anywhere else in our data. People crossing the Bab al-Mandab in small boats is a displacement indicator with a well-known mortality profile; it is being treated as colour. Three: civilian harm claims from Yemen are now perfectly mirrored and mutually unverifiable. A Yemeni government statement puts 350 civilians killed or wounded by Houthi attacks on the west coast — carried by *Al Arabiya* and *Al Hadath* only [TG-633643, TG-633642]. *Al Masirah* publishes a military source denying Saudi claims that Yemeni missiles hit a mosque [TG-634003], while *Mehr* attributes the mosque strike to a Saudi air-defence interceptor falling back [TG-634113]. Same building, two authors, no independent party. And *Al Masirah* runs a piece titled "The Blockade That Kills: Saudi Intransigence Is Murdering Yemen's Chronically Ill" [TG-634646] — a genuine humanitarian category deployed as a strike-justification frame in the same feed that announces ballistic launches. The Iranian casualty ledger is more specific and more personal, which is itself a method. Baghaei in Lamerd describes a mother nursing three teenage amputees and calls a town of 30,000 a weapons-testing ground [TG-634404, TG-634418, WEB-92539]. *Press TV* reports a US strike on a container vessel near Hengam island killing one and wounding several, including two Pakistani citizens [TG-634413]; the Pakistani detail — foreign crew, third-country nationals, the invisible labour of Gulf shipping — appears once and travels nowhere. Elsewhere: Gaza's health ministry warns of fuel cut-off to thirteen health institutions [TG-634742]; Lebanon's displaced students face a school year of uncertainty [WEB-92663]; *Al Masirah* marks a first day of school ended by a strike [TG-634678]. Children's schooling is becoming the shared humanitarian idiom across three fronts — and it is the one frame every ecosystem is willing to amplify, because it costs nothing to claim.

The displacement figure is the one hard humanitarian number in this window, and it came from an actor with no stake in either belligerent's story. *The International Organization for Migration*, via *ajanews*, reports roughly 85,000 people forced from their homes by fighting in Yemen, with about 2,000 reaching Djibouti [TG-632552]; *BBC Persian* gives 86,000 over two months [TG-632844]. *rybar_mena* — a Russian military channel, not a humanitarian one — filed the most textured account, describing Yemenis crossing to Djibouti by boat as the fighting spread west [TG-632345], with *Africanews* carrying the same displacement story [WEB-92389]. Note who is not carrying it prominently: neither the Houthi nor the Saudi-aligned ecosystem foregrounds civilian flight from territory each claims to be liberating. The strike accounting is entirely claim-against-claim. *Yemeni armed forces spokesman Yahya Saree*, via *Al Mayadeen* and *Al Manar*, says the Saudi side flew 58 airstrikes in 24 hours across Taiz, Lahj, al-Jawf, Hajjah, al-Bayda and Saada, using F-15s from Khamis Mushait [TG-633240][TG-633241][WEB-92462]. *Almasirah* reports artillery shelling of residential villages in the border districts of Shada and al-Dhahir [TG-633271][TG-633603] and two airstrikes on the Khamis market in Khab al-Shaaf [TG-633272], with *IRNA* carrying the market strike [TG-633293]. *middle_east_spectator* adds a claim that Saudi Arabia bombed homes of the Subaiha tribe in an area with no ongoing clashes, reportedly because the tribe refused to fight [TG-633188]. None of this is independently verified in our corpus, and all of it comes from the ecosystem aligned with the side being struck. Which makes the denial more interesting than the accusation. A *Yemeni military source*, via *Saba* and carried by *Al Mayadeen*, *ISNA* and *Farsna*, rejected Saudi media claims that Yemeni missiles hit a mosque, calling it a baseless charge and attributing the damage to failed Saudi interceptors falling on Saudi cities [TG-632876][TG-632877][TG-632986][TG-633001]. A belligerent disputing a civilian-harm attribution rather than ignoring it indicates the mosque frame was gaining enough traction to require rebuttal — that is the information-behavior signal, independent of who is right. The most unusual publication decision of the window belongs to the Saudi-aligned side. *The National Resistance*, via *ajanews*, *Al Mayadeen*, *Anadolu* and *Xinhua*, published its own losses: more than 500 killed and 1,500 wounded between 9 August and 10 September, while accusing the IRGC of backing the Houthi offensive [TG-632200][TG-632201][TG-632380][WEB-92376]. Belligerents rarely publish their own casualty counts. Doing so converts defeat into evidence of an external hand. On access: the *Houthi National Prisoners' Affairs Committee* accuses the other side of exploiting the prisoner file for blackmail rather than humanitarian purposes [TG-633533], while a *conference statement* carried by *Almasirah* demands the blockade be lifted and airports and ports opened unconditionally for medical supplies, holding Saudi Arabia and the international community responsible for thousands of patients facing certain death [TG-632754][TG-632755]. In Gaza, *Quds News* reports the health ministry warning that generator fuel shortages threaten hospitals' daily power [TG-632075][TG-632940], and Civil Defense recovering the remains of 17 unidentified Palestinians from rubble [TG-633039][TG-632969]. And in Iran, the archive grows: 126,600 documented instances of war damage and 4,500 legal reports to the UN in a month [TG-632212], a suit by nearly 353,000 people [WEB-92448], a *Press TV* feature on a pregnant kindergarten teacher killed with eight relatives [TG-632724]. Meticulous outward documentation, alongside a prosecutor charging a blogger at home [TG-632317].

The humanitarian data this window is not absent — it is unevenly distributed, and the distribution is the finding. Yemen: the UN says at least 76,000 people have been displaced since the naval blockade was declared in July, per *BBC Persian* [TG-631838], with *TRT World* carrying the same figure [WEB-92176]; Djibouti's economy minister reports 1,400 arrivals from Yemen in 24 hours [TG-631244]. Those numbers appear in Western-facing Persian and Turkish outlets. They are effectively absent from the Iranian state channels that spent this window celebrating the advance. *Almasirah*, for its part, publishes a piece titled "The Living Dead: Saudi Siege Is Killing Yemeni Patients Slowly" [TG-631649] — humanitarian framing deployed by a party that is itself running a maritime blockade [TG-631256]. Suffering is being inventoried strictly by whose it is. Gaza offers the cleanest framing contrast. The Palestine Red Crescent reports two killed and thirteen injured in a strike on a vehicle in Tal al-Hawa [TG-631768, TG-631814]. *AbuAliExpress* reports identical numbers from Gazan channels [TG-631770]. *Jerusalem Post* runs it as "IDF says it targeted car with Hamas terrorists" [WEB-92316]. Same casualties, incompatible moral architecture. Underneath, *Al Jazeera* carries Gaza's health ministry warning that hospital generators are failing for want of fuel, oils and spare parts [TG-631688, TG-632075], and *Quds News* reports 830,000 students returned to school with over 4,000 unable to [TG-632131]. Iran is building a different instrument: a legal one. *Press TV* reports the first hearing in a case with 352,983 claimants [WEB-92276]; *ISNA* reports over 300 complaints filed [TG-631872]; Baqaei calls the Lamerd strike — a sports hall, 21 dead, 130+ injured, per *Press TV* [TG-631210] — a war crime to be pursued internationally [TG-631029]. The health minister says 66,000 wounded have been treated free since the twelve-day war [TG-631513]. And the quietest item: the IRGC publishing routine notices that residents of Damavand and southern Isfahan will hear controlled detonations of unexploded ordnance [TG-631887, TG-631574]. Unexploded munitions have become a municipal scheduling matter. That is what normalisation looks like.

Read this window for who is counted, and the asymmetry is immediate. The Iranian foreign ministry staged a press conference *at the site of the killing* in Lamerd [TG-629668], and the forensic register escalated through the afternoon: four missiles carrying 180,000 pellets in total [TG-629382]; chemical agents added, spokesman Baqaei says, to increase lethality [TG-630231]; civilians left permanently disabled [TG-630137]; a named two-year-old, Avina, offered as the emblem of the attack [TG-630195]. The legal architecture is explicit — universal jurisdiction means perpetrators are prosecutable in any state that has adopted it [TG-630265], war criminals should feel safe nowhere [TG-630139], and no international fact-finding committee is needed because "the truth is established" [TG-630291]. That last sentence is the one a humanitarian analyst should sit with: it forecloses precisely the independent verification that would make the claim durable. Within hours the Lamerd material appears in *teleSUR* Spanish [TG-629522] [TG-630455]. That is fast, effective humanitarian-claim distribution into an ecosystem with no independent means of checking it. Now the counter-asymmetry. Yemeni civilian displacement from this week's fighting appears via *Al Jazeera Arabic* citing UNHCR — some 50,000 displaced in Taiz and southern Hodeidah [TG-630323] — and via *TRT World* citing the UN at 76,000 since July [WEB-92176]. Neither figure appears in the Iranian coverage celebrating the same advance [TG-630609] [TG-630364]. Saudi civil defence reports two injured and damage to a mosque and buildings in Tawwal, Jazan [TG-630723], and *Al-Masirah* reports Saudi artillery shelling residential villages in Ghamr district [TG-630472] — each a single line in a window saturated with imagery of captured equipment. The 129 Saudi airstrikes claimed in 48 hours [TG-630438] [WEB-92154] are framed almost entirely as provocation-and-response, not as a civilian-harm event. Two further items. *Al Hadath* and *Al Arabiya* carry UNRWA describing Israeli restrictions plus a $100m shortfall [TG-630122] [TG-630125] — a funding story where the money is the protection mechanism. And *Quds News* reports an Israeli artillery soldier selling custom inscriptions on shells before firing them into Lebanon, priced on Facebook Marketplace [TG-630547]. I include it not for outrage but because it documents something rare: the commodification of civilian harm, published by the perpetrator's own side, in a marketplace listing. Education, finally, is the one place two Iranian frames collide honestly: the Tehran governor says damaged schools have been rebuilt in time for term [TG-629302] and *ISNA* shows Minab's school restored by volunteers at their own expense [TG-630692], while *Radio Farda* asks whether the learning loss itself is reparable [TG-630699]. The state frame has no slot for that question.

I want to start with two children and a counting problem. Lana and Bana Ahmed were killed with their father and mother when their home in the Beit Lahia Project in northern Gaza was struck overnight. *Quds News* named them [TG-623431] and photographed the family mourning [TG-623545]; Gaza Civil Defense recovered the four bodies [TG-622997, TG-623084]. The story then travelled: *Anadolu* as "4 Palestinians killed in Israeli strike on Gaza home despite ceasefire" [WEB-91250], *Naharnet* as "at least four people, including two children" [WEB-91277], *L'Orient Today* as "family of four" [WEB-91280], *Kuwait Times* as "Four of one family" [WEB-91312], *Al Jazeera Arabic* as "including two girls, 4 martyrs from one family" [WEB-91309]. Only the Palestinian outlet used names. Everyone else used a number. This is the standard gradient, and it is worth stating plainly because it is measurable: proximity to the harm predicts whether the dead are individuals or a count. Second, a counting discrepancy that is itself informative. *Al-Manar*'s correspondent in southern Lebanon counted Israeli demolition operations in al-Mansouri as they happened, reaching twelve by mid-morning [WEB-91311, TG-623342]. *L'Orient Today*, on the same day, reported thirty-five demolitions in Mansouri [WEB-91252]. Both are reporting the same campaign against the homes of displaced families; both are credible; neither is reconcilable from here. And *AbuAliExpress* narrated the identical practice — an IDF drone lowering explosives into a house in Bani Hayyan, the building detonating within half a minute — as an Amazon-style "delivery service to your home" [TG-623120], while *Quds News* published the same technique as explosives dropped onto the homes of forcibly displaced Lebanese families in preparation for demolition [TG-623028]. The event is not in dispute. The genre is: comedy in one ecosystem, dispossession in the other. Third, and the sharpest item of the window for anyone who studies how humanitarian law gets used: two Human Rights Watch findings, hours apart, split cleanly along ecosystem lines. *Almayadeen* amplified an HRW and Harvard International Human Rights Clinic report documenting twenty-three incidents of Israeli white phosphorus use in Lebanon [TG-623148, TG-623149]. *Jerusalem Post* ran HRW's finding that Hezbollah's use of cluster munitions against Israel may constitute a war crime — and framed it as a "rare condemnation" [WEB-91324]. Same organization. Same week. Each outlet carried only the finding that pointed away from itself, and the Israeli outlet added a frame implying HRW rarely criticizes the other side. Neither audience saw both findings. This is what selective amplification of a neutral monitor looks like when you catch it in the same twenty-four hours. Fourth, the harm nobody is amplifying. The Yemeni west coast changed hands this week, and the humanitarian content of that is almost entirely absent from the coverage. *Almasirah* reported roughly forty Saudi airstrikes across Taizz, Hodeidah, al-Jawf and Marib [TG-623088, TG-623093], including al-Salif, at-Tuhayta and Kamaran Island [TG-622964]; *Al Arabiya* reported a Houthi bombardment in Marib killing three sibling children and wounding six civilians among the displaced [TG-622335]. Each ecosystem carried the atrocity attributable to the other, and neither carried the displacement, the disrupted ports, or the fate of civilians in Mokha as the front passed through. Al-Khukha and Hays are populated places. In this window they exist in our corpus almost exclusively as squares on a map — 2,600 km² [TG-622746], 1,050 km² [TG-623071] — and not once as a population. And inside Iran, the same window: floods damaging 772 homes in Mazandaran [TG-622340] and 4.5 thousand billion tomans of provincial loss [TG-623102], carried by Iranian state media at high volume and by nobody else at all.

Ask of every item in this window: who is counted, by whom, and to whom does the count travel? The Minab school returned to circulation on day 200, and not through a newsroom. The footballer Sardar Azmoun posted to Makan, one of the children killed there — "you should have been sitting at your school desk today, writing, playing, laughing, dreaming of tomorrow" — and *Fars* and *Mehr* both carried the post as news [TG-621571, TG-621593]. *Naharnet* published a feature on families grieving in the ruins of the Iranian school where a US strike killed dozens of children [WEB-90918], and *PressTV* ran a first responder describing recovery work and the line "sometimes we feel relieved when we don't find any bodies" [TG-621376]. A mass child-casualty event re-enters the information environment through sport and through a Lebanese outlet, six months on. That is what it looks like when a death toll has no institutional carrier. On the other side of the ledger, the Pentagon's revised figure of 820 US personnel wounded in the war with Iran, after thirty additional injuries, appears in our corpus only via *PressTV* [TG-621512]. A US casualty number reaching our readers exclusively through Iranian state English-language media is not a fact about the number; it is a fact about which ecosystems are willing to carry an increase. Yemen shows the same pattern at scale. The Yemeni armed forces spokesman reported 54 Saudi airstrikes across six governorates in twelve hours, rising to 70 in later reporting [TG-621234, TG-621343, TG-622027], and put the al-Hazm central prison death toll at 23 [TG-621111, TG-621311]. That toll travelled through *Al Mayadeen*, IRNA and *Naharnet* [TG-621404, WEB-90917]; the Gulf pan-Arab outlets in our corpus carried instead Yemen's president al-Alimi blaming the Houthis for escalation and demanding an end to "free de-escalation" [TG-621272, TG-621213], and the EU's condemnation of Houthi attacks on Saudi civilian and economic infrastructure [TG-620279]. Meanwhile *Anadolu* alone reported nearly 1,400 families displaced in western Yemen in a single day amid the military escalation [WEB-90801] — the largest civilian-protection datum of the window, carried once. Maritime casualties are the most invisible category. A crew member of a Gibraltar-flagged tanker was killed off Dubai; the death was reported by *Radio Farda* [TG-621034] and by *BBC Persian* citing the shipping company Peninsula [TG-622062] — not by the Iranian state outlets celebrating the operational tempo, nor by CENTCOM's tanker-destruction tally. Seafarers on commercial hulls belong to no belligerent's ledger. And in Lebanon: *abualiexpress*, citing Lebanese channels, counted 33 controlled Israeli demolitions in the village of al-Mansouri in a single day [TG-621175, TG-620368]; *Quds News* documented demolitions of displaced Lebanese homes in Bani Hayyan and "dozens of other villages" along the Yellow Line [TG-622135, TG-621241]; PressTV filmed a school being blown up in the same village [TG-620944]. The Lebanese Army's counter-count — approximately 7,700 violations of the framework agreement since signature [TG-621424, WEB-91077] — is a state institution attempting to make an accumulation legible. That is what the humanitarian information problem is: individual harms are reported constantly and totals almost never.